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Saturday, February 15, 2003
 
Regime Change - What is it Good For?

The idea of “regime change:” exactly what, relative to the current state of affairs, do the warmongers expect to accomplish by it?

At the moment, Iraq is, de facto, in a state of surrender. We now have near-total military control over 2/3 of the country, and prohibitive air superiority over the rest. Upon very short notice, we’ll be able to bring to bear enough force to utterly preempt any Iraqi military initiatives. We have sanctions in place that severely restrict the flow of money and goods into the country. We have weapons inspectors on the ground, who have complete freedom of movement, and who override Iraqi sovereignty at whim.

Saddam is cooperating, however reluctantly, with the UN. Why? Because he doesn’t want war. Any untoward action on his part will immediately be used as justification to remove him. It is therefore unimaginable that he will undertake aggressive actions against anyone.

What changes will a war, and presumed regime change effect?

Aside from inevitable death and destruction, there is the prospect of liberation for many Iraqis. There is the prospect of suffering for many more, especially the Kurds. Given the lack of unanimity among opposition groups on the subject of invasion, there is only uncertainty as to whether the people will benefit.

The one sure result of regime change is U.S. control of Iraqi land and resources. That is the only thing that can be accomplished by means of war and nothing else. Let’s stop kidding ourselves by pretending otherwise.